Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.568234 0.656433 0.752875 0.866033 0.995042 1.137412 1.306307
2025-06-22 0.405176 0.521237 0.661174 0.841746 1.067956 1.341308 1.695970
2025-06-29 0.313926 0.437105 0.596618 0.817111 1.112615 1.493417 2.019560
2025-07-06 0.254397 0.378295 0.548497 0.797431 1.149888 1.628292 2.323495
2025-07-13 0.221621 0.348775 0.532528 0.814537 1.232839 1.825980 2.725097
2025-07-20 0.202375 0.334902 0.535179 0.855829 1.351165 2.080708 3.227706
2025-07-27 0.183202 0.317667 0.529465 0.882036 1.447346 2.309274 3.710099
2025-08-03 0.163690 0.296683 0.514523 0.890691 1.515229 2.498681 4.146975
2025-08-10 0.145112 0.274384 0.494174 0.887140 1.561406 2.655868 4.543909
2025-08-17 0.128113 0.252320 0.471196 0.875760 1.592025 2.788588 4.909811
2025-08-24 0.113895 0.233259 0.450919 0.866174 1.623535 2.923595 5.288210
2025-08-31 0.099444 0.211697 0.423418 0.840111 1.622534 3.001692 5.573597
2025-09-07 0.096131 0.211864 0.436831 0.892030 1.769100 3.351737 6.368771
2025-09-14 0.083974 0.192404 0.410403 0.865331 1.767345 3.437725 6.700281
2025-09-21 0.073610 0.175182 0.386203 0.839947 1.764851 3.520890 7.031622
2025-09-28 0.065101 0.160739 0.365836 0.819744 1.769885 3.617416 7.394116
2025-10-05 0.060868 0.155354 0.363835 0.837299 1.852140 3.867822 8.070355
2025-10-12 0.058985 0.155192 0.373075 0.879673 1.989173 4.235681 9.003782
2025-10-19 0.056029 0.152019 0.375204 0.906566 2.095724 4.550347 9.853828
2025-10-26 0.052076 0.145797 0.369615 0.915446 2.163988 4.791759 10.572126
2025-11-02 0.047718 0.137894 0.359121 0.911803 2.203970 4.976801 11.186190
2025-11-09 0.043331 0.129264 0.345849 0.900126 2.224568 5.121939 11.726146
2025-11-16 0.039493 0.121552 0.333906 0.890289 2.248257 5.275042 12.293617